Australia’s Defense Minister woke up to a nightmare earlier this week – and this is one who has been doing sometimes since the United States was re -selected as Donald Trump as President in November.

A historic trilateral agreement between the US, the UK and Australia – which will later give state -of -the -art nuclear submarine technology in exchange for more help to China in Asia -Prashant – was subject to reviews.

The White House stated that on Thursday wanted to ensure that the so -called Oukas Treaty “was formed with the President’s first agenda of the President”.

This is Washington’s latest step that challenges its long -standing friendship with Canberra, reducing the fear under it, as the struggle around the world warm, Australia can be erected without its greatest colleague.

“I don’t think any Australian should realize that our colleague is fully committed to our safety,” says Sam Rosageven, which leads the security program in Australia’s Lovi Institute Think Tank.

On paper, Australia is a clear beneficiary of the Oukas Agreement, priced at £ 176BN ($ 239bn; a $ 368bn).

The technology that underlines the treaty is from the US, and the UK already has this, as well as its atomic-operated sub. But those who are being jointly designed and manufactured by three countries will be a improvement.

For Australia, it represents a significant upgradation to military capabilities. The new submarine model will be able to operate further and faster than the country’s current diesel-engine fleet, and will allow it to strike long distance against enemies for the first time.

It is a great thing for the US that its defense technique is described as the “Crown Jewel” of the technology, and the engine for the UK is not a small thing to hand over to the blueprint.

But Arming Australia has historically been seen as necessary to preserve peace in the Asia-Pacific region by Washington and Downing Street, which is far from itself.

This is about keeping their technology and hardware in the right place, saying the experts.

But when the Oukas Agreement was signed in 2021, there were very different leaders in the three countries – Joe Biden in the US, Boris Johnson in the UK and Scott Morrison in Australia.

Today, when rapid separatist lenses are seen through Trump, Trump is using to examine his country’s global relationship, some people argue that America is very low to achieve the treaty.

Elbridge Kolbie, Secretary, Defense Policy, will take the review of the previous critic of Aukas, a Pentagon official told the BBC that the process is to ensure that it fulfills “Common Sense, America First Criteria”.

They are telling two criteria. There is a demand that colleagues “take full steps to do their share for collective defense”. Others need to ensure that the American weapon industry is first meeting its needs of the country.

The Trump administration has continuously expressed disappointment among the Allies including Australia, who believe that they are not pulling their weight with defense spending.

They also say that the US is struggling to produce adequate nuclear-managed submarines for its forces.

“Why are we giving this crown jewel property when we need it most?” Kolbi himself said last year.

However, the Australian government is presenting a cool front.

Officials say it is natural for a new administration to assure the decisions of its predecessor, given that the new UK Labor government had reviewed the Oukas last year as well.

In an interview with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC), Defense Minister Richard Marls said about Pact, “I am confident that it is going to happen.”

But there is no doubt that the review will create some early shocks of nervousness in Canberra.

“I think Angest is inseparable since its debut … Review is not worrisome since its debut.”

Concerns are increasing throughout Australia that America cannot be trusted.

,[President Donald Trump’s] Behavior, in these first months of this word, I do not think any observer should confidently fill the US commitment to his colleagues, “Sri Rosageven says.

“Trump said, for example, that Ukraine is mainly the problem of Europe because they separate from a large, beautiful ocean. Of course, there is a big, beautiful ocean that also distinguishes America from Asia.”

Washington’s decision to slap a large tariff on Australian goods earlier this year also did not inspire confidence, Prime Minister Anthony Albanis said it was clearly “not a friend’s work”.

Albani has so far shut down on the Oukas review, possibly next week by stopping his breath for a face-to-face meeting with Trump on the occasion of the G7 Summit in Canada. It is a chat that he is still trying hard to agree to the US President.

But many former Prime Ministers have run to give two cents.

Conservative leader Scott Morrison, who interacted on the Oukas Treaty in 2021, said the review should not be “over-distinguished” and on the suggestion that another country can meet the security needs of Australia.

“Dharna … is honest confusion,” he told ABC Radio.

The Malcolm Turnbull, who was behind the French submarine contract, tore in favor of Oukas dramatically, said that Australia needs to “wake up”, feel that it is a “bad deal” that America can make at any point, and make other plans before too long.

Meanwhile, Paul Keetting, a famous pungent lawyer for intimate relations with China, said that it could “be very well the moment when Washington protects Australia himself”.

“Aukus will be shown what it is always: a deal on an envelope by Scott Morrison, as well as empty British Bluehard Boris Johnson and confused President Joe Biden.”

The work of American induction on Ox comes in long -term criticism in some quarters that Australia is becoming very dependent on the country.

Calling the country’s third largest political party, Australia’s investigation, said: “We need an independent defense and foreign policy, which we do not need to divert our will and shovels.

There is every chance that the US rotates in a few weeks and advises the treaty.

At the end of the day, Australia is purchasing five nuclear-managed submarines at a huge expense, which helps Americans to keep employed. And the US has a lot of time – just less than a decade – to solve their supply issues and provide them.

,[The US] They also benefit from the broad aspects of Aukus – the three sides get more inter -defense technology and ecosystem to jointly lift their boat, ”Sri Graham says.

Nevertheless, it is difficult to completely eradicate the reviewed anxiety in the relationship – and Australia has only disagreements on the Okus.

But there is also a possibility that Trump wants to re -write the deal.

“I can easily see a future in which we do not find Virginia class boats,” Mr. Rosageven said referring to interim submarines.

This will potentially leave Australia with its fast old fleet for one and two decades, while new models are being designed and manufactured.

What happens in this incident, America leaves the alliance completely?

At this point, some people seem to be that alarm.

The broad view is that, for the US, it is still important to combat China and keep Prashant in its area.

However, Mr. Rosgeven says that when it comes to a possible struggle in Pacific, the US is not putting its money where it has been mouth for years.

“Since the end of the Cold War ends the military power of any country and the largest construction of the United States in Asia since the end of the Cold War, China has not changed originally.”

If the US leaves, the Okus can become a strange Auk very well – but can Britain really offer enough to maintain the agreement for Australia?

And if the whole thing separates and Australia is left without submarines, then it can turn towards whom?

France seems like an unexpected savior, looking at the previous line, but Australia has options, Mr. Rosageven says: “This will not end the world for Australian defense.”

Australia is “geographically blessed”, they say, and with “a proper defense budget and a good strategy”, can stop China even without submarines.

“This is the phrase that you ever hear, that the danger is at our door. Well, it’s a big door if it is true … Beijing is close to Berlin as much as Sydney.”

“It is a mental block in Australia and it is also an emotional block – the fear of abandonment, the idea that we cannot defend ourselves alone. But we can fully do if we have to do it.”