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Monday, 28 July 2025
Investing

Dollar Rallies on Higher T-note Yields

Dollar index (Dxy00) On Monday, +0.44% increased, some land recovered after a decline of 0.73% last Friday.

On Monday, with the increase in the 10-year T-Rote yield in the dollar, the US interest rate difference was seen better by a margin of US interest rate. The dollar saw support last Friday after passing the stop-gap funding bill and postponing the US government’s shutdown, which would have been negative for the US economy.

Despite the expectation of Monday’s weak-to-American economic reports, the dollar held a rally.

Monday’s Nov US durable goods report was weaker than expected, although the order of capital goods was slightly stronger than expected. Nov US durable goods order -1.1% m/m fell, which were weakened by expectations of -0.3%, although the Oct was modified more than +0.3% to +0.8%. Nov ordered the order of durable items pre -transport -0.1%, +weaker than expectations of 0.3%. Nov Capital Goods orders pre -defense and aircraft, a proxy for capital expenses, +0.7% m/m increased, +stronger than expectations of 0.1%.

Nov US new home sales report +5.9% to 664,000 to 669,000 was weaker than expectations.

The Dec Conference Board US Consumer Confidence Index Report -8.1 to 104.7 report was much weaker than expectations for an increase of 113.2.

Markets are giving a discount of 9% possibility at 9% for cutting -25 bp rate cuts at 28-29 FOMC meeting.

EUR/USD (^Eurusd) Mainly a strength of dollar fell to -0.23%.

Following a slightly terrible statement by the ECB president Lagard, the Euro saw some underlying support that ECB members were cautious for price pressure in the service sector, although he said that members believe that the ECB is with its CPI target.

Nov increased German import price index +0.9% m/m and +0.6% y/y, +0.6% m/m and +0.3% stronger than expectations of y/y.

Swap is exempting 100% possibilities for cutting -25 BP rate cut by ECB at its next meeting on 30 January and is 9% chance for cutting -50 BP rate cut in that meeting.

USD/JPY (^Usdjpy) Rose +0.47% but was consolidated below the 5 -month high of last Friday.

The yen fell rapidly last week when BOJ kept his night call rate unchanged last Thursday at 0.25%. In addition, BOJ Governor UDA suggested last Thursday that BOJ could wait for a long time before raising the interest rate, when he said, “The overall picture on wages should be clear by March or April, and it may take time to assess the full impact of the policies of the Trump administration.”

February gold (Gcg25) March Silver (-0.64%) -16.90 (-0.64%) is closed (SIH25) Closed +0.231 ( +0.77%). On Monday, gold prices decreased by strong dollars and high T-not-not-not-rots yields. Precious metals continued to support geopolitical risks after the Syrian government’s recent collapse and enhancing enmity in the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

On the date of publication,

Rich aspland

There were no securities mentioned in this article (either direct or indirectly). All information and data in this article is only for informative purposes. For more information, please see the Barcart Disclosure Policy

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