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Saturday, 28 June 2025
Politics

Forget ‘total obliteration’ — experts say Iran and U.S. need to negotiate : NPR

Forget ‘total obliteration’ — experts say Iran and U.S. need to negotiate : NPR

People keep posters of the flag of Iran and Hizbullah as well as the supreme leader Khameni as Iranians take to the streets to celebrate a ceasefire after a 12-day war with Israel on 24 June 2025 in the city’s ENHALB (Revolution) category in Tehran, Iran.

Negger/Middle East Picture/AFP through Getty Image


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President Trump doubled his claims that the US attack in Iran in the last weekend left its major nuclear facilities “”, Report of a leak intel assessmentWhich states that Iran’s nuclear program was set back only by “a few months”.

Speaking to reporters while attending the NATO summit in the Netherlands, Trump said he was confident that the conflict between Israel and Iran was over. After making a declaration on social media on Monday night, the two sides suddenly agreed to the ceasefire.

Trump said at the summit that he had a plan to talk with Iran the next week, but he said he did not think it was necessary to come on a deal to leave his atomic ambitions with Iran.

“We can sign an agreement,” he said, but later said “I don’t think it is necessary,” repeating the success of the US attacks.

President Donald Trump, the Center, Hague, speaks on Wednesday, June 25, 2025 during a media conference at the NATO Summit in the Netherlands.

President Donald Trump, the Center, Hague, speaks on Wednesday, June 25, 2025 during a media conference at the NATO Summit in the Netherlands.

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But experts from the region and Iran’s nuclear program say that regardless of the amount of damage caused to Iran’s nuclear facilities, leading interactions for a permanent agreement are important. Otherwise, a re -beginning of war – which America may include – seems unavoidable.

“This ceasefire, in my view, is very low for both Israel and Americans, until a very serious political strategy is, and President Trump essentially jump that,” on foreign relations, “Says Senior Policy partner and Iran expert Elie Geranmayah in the European Council.

Between 2021 and 2023, the top Middle East official of Pentagon, Dana Strol said that the need for negotiation as soon as possible is “absolutely important.”

“This is a very unusual way to a ceasefire,” says Strol, the research director of the Washington Institute for Pass East Policy. “There is nothing written, nothing has been expressed, there is no time and no identity to mediate allegations of cheating.”

A “head-spinning” two weeks

Trump’s Wednesday’s comments were the latest as “Head-Spinning Two-Veek period” between Iran and the US were the latest as “Head-Spinning to-Veek’s duration”, who struggled to catch many Chowkidars in the region.

It began with a planned nuclear dialogue between the US and Iran, which Many rounds had already gone But it was canceled when Israel made a stunning attack on Iran in mid -June. The talks were going well in the beginning, but started stalling in more technical details.

The US then hit several nuclear sites within Iran with large-scale bunker-bomb bomb over the last weekend, as there was the only country in both arms and distribution system to strike such a strike.

Reporters take pictures of a displayed graphic, as the Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Joint Chief President General Dan Kane, during a news conference in Pentagon in Washington, after reaching three sites in Iran on Sunday, June 22, 2025, after joining Israel's attempt to destroy the country's nuclear program, Dan speaks.

Reporters take pictures of a displayed graphic, as the Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Joint Chief President General Dan Kane, during a news conference in Pentagon in Washington, after reaching three sites in Iran on Sunday, June 22, 2025, after joining Israel’s attempt to destroy the country’s nuclear program, Dan speaks.

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Since that strike, many Iranian authorities have spoke openly about continuing the country’s nuclear program – which Iran maintains, is peaceful, but what Israel says that its purpose was to build a atomic bomb – especially in relation to enriching uranium, a major component for a nuclear weapon.

Iran at the University of Johns Hopkins Valli Nasar says, “President Trump will have to find a way in which the nuclear talks can get quickly as soon as possible to return to the table.”

The vein insisted that the time is not on the banks of America yet.

“Iranians may already be busy making a bomb, realizing that they were only attacked by two nuclear armed countries, and eventually, you know, the only option to face such a threat is nuclear weapons,” they say.

Iran can rebuild

Experts have long warned that attacking Iran may have adverse effects that its opponents want – instead of preventing its atomic ambitions, it can give them speed.

“I have been making this point for at least 30 years, that is restructuring in all cases,” says Kenneth Palak at the Middle East Institute, at the Middle East Institute.

Polake says that there is not just a way that it can be exposed through military action alone.

“No matter how many scientists kill Israelis, they are not going to be able to bring Iran back into nuclear ignorance. Knowledge is very widespread within the Iranian system,” he says.

He indicates the fact that there is still much about Iran’s atomic program that is unknown, especially after the most recent enmity, where there may be a large reserves of highly rich uranium.

Rafael Grosie, Director General of International Atomic Energy Agency, Indicated on Monday This is a chance that it survived the attacks, was shifted by Iran ahead of time – but said that the nuclear guard has no account at present.

Iran has limited its interaction with IAEA inspectors for several years, although they were still allowed to monitor the declared nuclear sites. On Wednesday, Iran’s Parliament approved a bill, which effectively suspended cooperation with the agency. Further approval will be required to implement that step.

“The Iranian regime has invested decades in its nuclear program and also a unique amount of resources,” says Stroli of Washington Institute for Pass East Policy. “So to think that after less than two weeks, they are just going to take a knee and give up their entire atomic ambitions, possibly a small vision approach.”

Talks will not be easy

Trump has indicated that the US and Iranian officials will meet next week.

Shira Efron, director of Research at the New York -based Research Group, Israel Policy Forum, says it is good news, if it is true.

She says, “An agreement will be far more durable than the ceasefire we have.” “The question is, what is going to happen with these dialogues? They can’t just talk for talks.”

Those negotiations, if they are, are almost certainly going to be complicated, looking at the extremely technical nature of the nuclear issue, and rigorous positions on both sides.

“This is the real test for the art of the deal, isn’t it?” Nasar of Johns Hopkins says. “Do you really have diplomatic with the authority to interact, to lift heavy? Do you have the right team to do so? It’s not just intention, it has the ability to give.”

Garanmayah, who consulted during the diplomatic track due to the 2015 nuclear deal under Obama, said that in some ways, the deal today helped laying a route for dialogue. But access to Iranian facilities without international inspectors, she says it would be difficult to know what to interact about now.

“Even though we basically know what the solutions are and how you can put the cube back together, the technical side has become more difficult,” says Geranmayah.

For example, by blindfolding a rubic cube together, she says.

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