To improve the welfare system, the original plan of the labor was a hurry to try to cut a rapidly growing bill to help a Chancellor to help a chancellor to fulfill its self-departed rules.
But this latest U-turn raises important questions about how it actually increases stability and credibility. It is actually to have financial plans every six months, which change every six months to hit budget goals, which often change for various reasons, including things such as the cost of lending, which the government cannot control.
Latest deal Leaves more than half of the annual £ 5BN savings from welfare reforms by 2029–30.
Disabled Personal Independent Payment (PIP) Planned deduction for eligibility was prescribed to increase the bulk of this savings, £ 4.5bn.
But now the changes will only apply to new contenders from November 2026, which spare 370,000 of the 800,000 current contenders identity by the DWP impact assessment.
Another change declared in March, which now applies only to new contenders, involves how PIP applicants are evaluated.
PIP assessment includes questions about food preparing and eating, washing and wearing clothes. Each is scored from zero – without any difficulty – from 12 – for the most serious.
For example, helping your hair was required, or below the waist your body will be honored with two digits, but the need for washing between the shoulders and the waist will be equal to the four points.
Under the new system, people will need to score at least four points for an activity, rather than qualifying for support in a wide range of tasks.
The rebel leader Meg Hillier and the ministers jointly stressed that the new four-point border would be a so-called “co-producing”.
This means that they will be drawn together with disability donation, so how the scoring will be applied, it is still not clear and suggests that changes may not save more money.
There will also be a knock-on effect for the carer’s allowance. It seems laudable that the price of this part will be £ 2BN.
Original universal credit health changes – cooling the health element by 2029–30, and reduced it from the cold for new contenders from next April – would have increased £ 3BN in 2029–30.
Now 2.25 million existing recipients will see an increase in corresponding inflation, and the most serious cases of 730,000 new contenders will no longer see this half.
It will cost several hundred million, perhaps £ 1bn.
In addition, the government has promised to carry forward investment in employment, health and skill support to support support to bring back health benefits.
It was only due to a hit next year and was seen at its full £ 1BN level by 2029. This helps as a piece of improvement instead of cost cuts to the consistency of the package.
There are many running parts here, and it is worth noting that the original cost was highly uncertain and was subject to perceptions about changed behaviors. For example, severe, the number of contenders who would successfully say that they were now above the new four-point border.
However, it is likely that the total cost of overnight is more than half of the original £ 5BN savings – £ 2.5-3BN deal.
All will be revealed in the budget by the government’s financial guard, office for the responsibility of budget.
But it is in addition to the cost of £ 1.25bn Winter fuel payment u-turnGiven the “non-pervantic” borrowing rules of the Chancellor, and either high taxes or deductions will have to come elsewhere.