A minister told me with a smile, “I don’t have that much quality with my colleagues since Brexit Wars.”
A comment that goes to the heart of this benefit within the labor party: it is a large majority government, which has already done a large U-turn and is still involved in a large persuasion job.
This does not mean this, one year in the government, 165 with a working majority.
The Prime Minister himself will be persuading something today, causing the matter that these changes are, as he sees it, not only in mind the labor values ​​but also to ensure the long -term stability of the welfare state.
But if the statement of Kamons from Kama and Pension Secretary Liz Kendal on Monday was intended to assure Labor MPs, then it is an open question whether it works.
“It closed some colleagues. I think it will happen, but it would be closer,” a backbane said.
There has been a lot of talk of being 40 to 50 labor MPs who are protesting, but things are liquid.
Given the size of the working majority, the rebels will need to gather about 80 colleagues to vote for about 80 of their colleagues to vote against the government, everything else is the same.
But an important factor may be how many people want to escape in the vote on Tuesday evening.
Incidentally, Prof. Philip Cowley of Queen Mary University in London noted that the largest backbenth rebel ever is rebel.
The biggest rebellion in the first year of Tony Blair in Downing Street was also on 47 and welfare state – on the benefit of parents alone.
The biggest backbenth rebellion for any governing party in 200 years was in the Iraq War in 2003.
There is a lot of concern on these benefits that individual freedom payment (PIP) is being proposed at the end of next year.
From November 2026, the plan will be tough the eligibility criteria for the main disability benefits.
Some Labor MPs and Ministers reviewed the PIP operated by Work and Pension Minister Sir Stephen Tims and expected to include people with disabilities, assuring colleagues that the government’s intentions were something they could return.
But repeatedly the concerns of the Commons were extended that the review time frame – due to the report in next year’s autumn – would mean that it would be too late to impact the eligibility criteria for the pip.
And there is a underlying criticism below it: the reason for plans at the end of next year makes it easier to add the number of Chancellor Rachel Reves in this way – and, to use Jargon, when it is a central measures to be “scores” by the office, which is central for the government’s management.
This is a wrong-headed, topssi turvi and a rapid hard-to-defend approach for a lot of labor MPs.
But it is also worth emphasizing, as always when there is a debate on people with noise, that there are quiet labor MPs, many people keep their heads down now, who find this entire line seriously and fundamentally innocent – and, they argue, it is the argument that it is the duty of the Labor to fight with a spilling profit bill.
And Sir Kir and Rachel Reeves have long argued that labor is being seen as a trusted patron of the economy, on which the building block is built, on which everything else is constructed.
Chief Koda, Sir Alan Campbell, in -charge of winning votes for the Prime Minister, has issued a petition for unity – something that happens only when it does not have a surplus – and Labor told MPs that they should “act as a team”.
He said that the party said, for him, he will have to come back together after this difficult vote.
The MPS will again argue the schemes later, and this evening is expected to vote.
And even if the government wins, it will not end the matter.
More arguments and votes are expected in the next few weeks.
