Good morning. Kir stormer has decided that Vivek is a better part of valor, which gives expensive concessions to the labor rebels on the planned deduction of the government for welfare. What does it mean in today’s note, some thoughts on it.

Disregard a civil war

will be Extensive concessions are being kept forward Will the government be sufficient to see the defeat in Commons next week? Talking to MPs is “almost certainly”.

There are some of the rebels) To win this vote, the government’s strategy has been greatly provoked, B) because what the government has said to win this vote, and c) has specific policy objections that they are not convinced that they are covered, and/or D), whatever they see as the nose of a high-hand road, they are enjoying being able to rub it.

But there are enough MPs who will see these concessions as a win. This would mean that when votes are being cast, most rebels will decide that they are better than risk by being part of a domed last stand.

In the context of the policy qualities of changes, I know that I have been running for a long time this morning, so I will return to the future newspaper.

For now, the big picture point I will make, is that the trajectory and nature of this government have been permanently replaced. This further confirms what is shown to us by retreating on winter fuel payments: When it comes to push, this government will not be able to cut public spending and defend.

It could not do this on winter fuel payments, when there was a strong case in defense of policy on merit and when lost people were focused on large-scale non-earrings voters. This could not cut individual freedom payments when he did not have a strong case to defend the policy on merit and the worst hit by it to do Vote labor. How about those very tight spending settlements as envisaged to some departments in wider spending reviews? I think there is no chance to distribute them.

It is also a defeat for “MPs need to be brought into line” that many people in the government’s heart thought that they could create their default approach to the management of the parliamentary labor party. Labor will have to find new methods of operation in both policy and parliamentary conditions. This is not only an important moment for the government on welfare policy, but also on how the administration of the starrer handles in the next four years.

My colleagues Robert Shrimsley, Miranda Green and I will answer your questions on the subject in Live Q&A on FT Site next Thursday. You can leave your questions/thoughts in the comments Under this article From now on, anytime and we will expect on July 3 at 1 pm to answer. No person can be scored in future newspapers.

Try it now

Here is a good lunch recommendation: Greenberry CafeWhich is on a walk from the Regent Park, where I recently had a very cute lunch.

Although you spend it, there is a wonderful weekend.

Top Stories Today

• Above the hill The Meg Hilier, who pushed the bill to change, had hot words to say this morning in response to concessions: “This is a good and working agreement and shows that the labor government has heard.” But some rebels told FT that they were still uncertain. York Central MP Rachel Maskail said that the bill “cannot do and should not be saved”. Here is the track inside How did all this be revealed,

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